Monaco vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
43.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAE
0 - 3
MON
12%
19%
70%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
MON
3 - 1
MAC
34%
24%
42%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
GIR
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MON
4 - 0
NAN
75%
17%
9%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 4
MON
30%
24%
46%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
PSG
2 - 1
LYO
62%
21%
18%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 2
PSG
10%
18%
73%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
FCB
6 - 1
PSG
83%
11%
6%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
PSG
1 - 0
ASN
84%
12%
4%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
NIO
0 - 2
PSG
7%
16%
77%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |