Monaco vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
5º
2º
29
7º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
REI
1 - 3
MON
27%
24%
48%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MON
3 - 2
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
NIC
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 2
MON
19%
23%
58%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MON
3 - 0
LEN
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
KAI
2 - 3
MET
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MET
0 - 1
NIC
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TFC
3 - 0
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MET
0 - 1
STR
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LEN
0 - 1
MET
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |