Monaco vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1985 |
GIR
0 - 0
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1985 |
MON
4 - 1
PSG
62%
22%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1985 |
BRE
0 - 2
MON
38%
28%
34%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1985 |
MON
1 - 1
NAN
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1985 |
SPO
0 - 1
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1985 |
BAS
1 - 0
STL
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1985 |
STR
1 - 1
BAS
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1985 |
BAS
0 - 0
RAC
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1985 |
FCR
1 - 1
BAS
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1985 |
BAS
1 - 1
SOC
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |