Molgas ADF vs SD Bande analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+710%
+85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molgas ADF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RAN
2 - 1
MOL
41%
21%
38%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MOL
1 - 1
CRE
59%
20%
21%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 2
MOL
38%
20%
42%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MOL
1 - 1
MOR
17%
18%
66%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MOL
0 - 1
CEA
40%
21%
39%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SD Bande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CRE
3 - 3
BAN
42%
24%
34%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 5
VIL
50%
20%
30%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
5 - 0
BAN
69%
16%
14%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CEA
6 - 1
BAN
38%
22%
40%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAN
3 - 3
CEN
75%
15%
10%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |