Mogi Mirim vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
VIT
4 - 1
MOG
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MOG
0 - 3
BOT
21%
27%
53%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
BOA
0 - 1
MOG
44%
27%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MOG
0 - 0
OES
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 1
MOG
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
LUV
2 - 0
PAR
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAY
40%
29%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
PAR
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 0
BAH
31%
30%
40%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
BOA
1 - 2
PAR
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |