Modena Sub 17 vs Juventus Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
3.7%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10%
85%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
18.8%
0-4
8.9%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.4%
0-5
5.6%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
7.9%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.9%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.7%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+130%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
10º
12º
13º
50
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 32 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 3 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
GEN
2 - 1
MOD
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
NAP
2 - 1
MOD
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MOD
0 - 1
PAR
19%
20%
62%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BOL
4 - 0
MOD
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MOD
1 - 5
FIO
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Juventus Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 0
PAR
77%
14%
9%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 1
BOL
61%
19%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
FIO
2 - 3
JUV
35%
22%
43%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 1
TOR
84%
11%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SMP
0 - 2
JUV
10%
15%
75%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |