Modena vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MOD
2 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
OLB
0 - 3
MOD
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
PES
1 - 2
MOD
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MOD
2 - 0
VIT
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
MOD
28%
28%
44%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 3
PIA
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
PIA
1 - 1
JS2
41%
27%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
PIA
1 - 1
GER
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
FCS
2 - 0
PIA
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
PIA
1 - 2
PRO
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |