Mirassol vs Toledo EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
9.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CAB
3 - 1
MIR
23%
27%
50%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
MIR
1 - 1
BAN
69%
21%
10%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
COR
1 - 0
MIR
71%
20%
10%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 3
MIR
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
MIR
0 - 1
PPE
34%
27%
40%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
TCW
2 - 3
NPR
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
POR
3 - 0
TCW
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
TCW
1 - 0
PAR
12%
21%
67%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
OPE
1 - 1
TCW
74%
18%
9%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
TCW
1 - 1
COT
6%
14%
81%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | +1 |