Mirassol vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
56.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PPE
1 - 1
MIR
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
TOM
0 - 1
MIR
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
MIR
4 - 1
ATL
25%
25%
49%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CEA
2 - 0
MIR
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
MIR
2 - 1
SPO
33%
27%
39%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 1
SAN
84%
12%
4%
|
90 | 53 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
FLA
43%
26%
32%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 1
SAO
49%
26%
25%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
BAH
0 - 1
SAO
35%
27%
38%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
CUI
65%
22%
14%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |