Mirassol vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 1
MIR
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 3
MIR
50%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MIR
1 - 1
NOV
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
MIR
1 - 1
SAO
18%
25%
57%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PPE
1 - 1
MIR
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
BRA
5%
16%
79%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAN
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
AGU
17%
25%
59%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
NOV
8%
19%
73%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 1
SAN
84%
12%
4%
|
53 | 90 | 37 | 0 |