Mirassol vs Cascavel FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
MIR
42%
29%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MIR
1 - 0
POR
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
NPR
1 - 1
MIR
12%
24%
64%
|
59 | 28 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
MIR
8 - 0
NPR
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
POR
1 - 1
MIR
21%
28%
52%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cascavel FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
TCW
1 - 3
CAS
17%
23%
60%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 0
NPR
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
POR
2 - 1
CAS
26%
27%
47%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 0
POR
54%
26%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
NPR
0 - 3
CAS
11%
20%
69%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |