Mirassol vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
ITU
1 - 1
MIR
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MIR
2 - 2
SAN
34%
27%
40%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
MIR
4 - 0
SAN
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 1
MIR
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 3
MIR
50%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 4
COR
16%
27%
57%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
INT
2 - 0
BOT
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 3
PPE
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ITU
0 - 0
BOT
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAN
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |