Superliga Final
Global 2-1
Millonarios vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MIL
5 - 0
IND
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
JUN
1 - 0
MIL
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
MIL
0 - 1
NAC
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
MIL
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
MIL
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
JUN
2 - 0
BUC
58%
24%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
JUN
1 - 0
MIL
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
JUN
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
JUN
3 - 2
IND
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
JUN
4 - 2
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |