Apertura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Millonarios vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
JUN
2 - 0
MIL
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
IND
1 - 0
MIL
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 1
HUI
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
EQU
0 - 3
MIL
29%
28%
44%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MIL
1 - 2
COR
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
JUN
2 - 0
MIL
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
EQU
0 - 0
JUN
28%
28%
44%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
JUN
2 - 1
COR
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ENV
1 - 1
JUN
32%
28%
39%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
JUN
2 - 0
CAL
52%
24%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |