Milan vs Sassuolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
ACM
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ACM
1 - 0
INT
53%
24%
24%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
ROM
2 - 0
ACM
56%
22%
22%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ACM
3 - 0
LIV
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ACM
1 - 0
CAT
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sassuolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
SAS
4 - 2
GEN
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
FIO
3 - 4
SAS
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
SAS
1 - 3
JUV
11%
23%
66%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 1
SAS
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SAS
1 - 1
CAG
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |