Milan vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
ROM
1 - 1
ACM
52%
24%
25%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
ACM
1 - 0
PIA
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
REG
1 - 2
ACM
21%
27%
52%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
TOR
2 - 2
ACM
29%
27%
44%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
ACM
1 - 1
FIO
59%
22%
19%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
UDI
2 - 1
PRG
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
PAR
0 - 0
UDI
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
UDI
0 - 0
TOR
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
VER
2 - 2
UDI
30%
26%
44%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
UDI
3 - 0
INT
49%
24%
27%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | +1 |