Champions League Last 16
Global 1-0
Milan vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
38.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
ACM
1 - 0
TOR
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
ACM
61%
21%
18%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ACM
2 - 5
SAS
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
LAZ
4 - 0
ACM
37%
25%
38%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
ACM
0 - 3
INT
34%
24%
42%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LEI
4 - 1
TOT
26%
24%
50%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TOT
1 - 0
MAC
18%
22%
59%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PNE
0 - 3
TOT
10%
18%
72%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
FUL
0 - 1
TOT
24%
23%
54%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
MAC
4 - 2
TOT
77%
14%
9%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |