Milan vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ACM
2 - 2
ROM
56%
23%
21%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 2
ACM
12%
21%
67%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
PSV
3 - 0
ACM
38%
25%
38%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
ACM
3 - 2
ACL
88%
9%
3%
|
91 | 41 | 50 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ACM
2 - 1
FIO
67%
20%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 1
TOR
29%
26%
44%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
VER
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
ASS
1 - 4
TOR
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 0
USC
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 1
ALM
56%
23%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |