Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 2-2
Milan vs Slovan Liberec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
ACM
3 - 0
LEC
71%
18%
12%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
VER
1 - 2
ACM
33%
27%
40%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
ACM
0 - 0
ROM
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
JUV
1 - 0
ACM
58%
23%
20%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2002 |
ACM
3 - 1
BVB
51%
24%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Slovan Liberec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
SLI
2 - 0
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
ZBR
0 - 1
SLI
29%
27%
43%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
SIG
0 - 0
SLI
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2002 |
BOH
2 - 1
SLI
30%
27%
42%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2002 |
SLI
3 - 3
ZBR
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |