Milan vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
46%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
NAP
3 - 2
ACM
73%
16%
10%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
RMA
3 - 1
ACM
83%
12%
6%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
ACM
1 - 0
FCB
12%
19%
68%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
TOT
1 - 0
ACM
60%
22%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
ACM
1 - 1
MUD
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
ROM
3 - 3
ATL
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 1
ROM
35%
23%
42%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
RMA
2 - 1
ROM
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
FCB
2 - 4
ROM
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
ROM
1 - 4
TOT
52%
23%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |