Milan vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1991 |
BAR
2 - 1
ACM
19%
29%
53%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
ACM
6 - 0
BOL
74%
18%
8%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
JUV
0 - 3
ACM
49%
26%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
ACM
1 - 1
ROM
55%
25%
20%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
PIS
0 - 1
ACM
20%
28%
52%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1991 |
PAR
2 - 0
CES
51%
28%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAR
44%
29%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
PAR
0 - 0
TOR
34%
30%
36%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
ATL
0 - 0
PAR
56%
26%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
BOL
1 - 3
PAR
53%
26%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |