Milan vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
SIE
1 - 1
ACM
16%
24%
60%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2007 |
ACM
1 - 1
FIO
68%
20%
12%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
ACM
3 - 1
SEV
41%
25%
34%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
GEN
0 - 3
ACM
17%
24%
59%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
REG
2 - 0
ACM
18%
25%
58%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
SLB
3 - 0
NAV
72%
18%
9%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
NAC
0 - 3
SLB
26%
26%
48%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
FCK
0 - 1
SLB
41%
27%
32%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SLB
0 - 0
VIT
69%
20%
11%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
LEX
1 - 1
SLB
20%
26%
55%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |