Milan vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1968 |
BYM
0 - 0
ACM
61%
20%
19%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
ROM
1 - 1
ACM
27%
28%
45%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1968 |
ACM
2 - 0
BYM
52%
21%
27%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
BOL
1 - 1
ACM
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
ACM
2 - 1
TOR
72%
19%
9%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1968 |
VAR
1 - 1
MAN
56%
26%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
CAG
2 - 1
VAR
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
NAP
5 - 0
VAR
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1968 |
VAR
2 - 0
SPA
53%
28%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
VAR
0 - 0
BOL
30%
30%
40%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |