Middlesbrough vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
MID
0 - 1
NOR
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
BRE
0 - 0
MID
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
BBU
0 - 0
MID
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
MID
1 - 0
NTT
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
MID
2 - 0
COV
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
BRI
1 - 0
DER
52%
24%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
DER
0 - 2
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
DER
0 - 1
QPR
51%
25%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BOU
1 - 1
DER
67%
20%
14%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
DER
1 - 1
CAR
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |