Middlesbrough vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
70.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
MID
1 - 3
COV
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 2
MID
24%
24%
52%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
ROT
1 - 0
MID
18%
21%
61%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
MID
1 - 0
WBA
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
POR
0 - 3
MID
16%
20%
64%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
ASV
3 - 2
BUR
69%
19%
12%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
MUD
3 - 2
ASV
52%
24%
24%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
ASV
1 - 1
SHE
75%
16%
9%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 2
ASV
35%
26%
39%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
ZRI
1 - 1
ASV
11%
19%
71%
|
94 | 77 | 17 | -1 |