Metz vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
18º
17º
39
4º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LEN
0 - 1
MET
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MET
2 - 2
REI
34%
28%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CLE
0 - 1
MET
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
MET
2 - 2
MAR
21%
25%
54%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
REN
5 - 1
MET
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
STR
2 - 2
MPL
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
NIC
2 - 0
STR
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
STR
2 - 0
TFC
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MON
3 - 0
STR
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
STR
2 - 1
LYO
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |