Metz vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
73.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
18º
17º
76
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
STR
2 - 1
MET
56%
23%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MET
2 - 3
REN
20%
24%
56%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MET
1 - 2
LIL
21%
26%
53%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LHA
0 - 1
MET
36%
28%
37%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
MET
2 - 1
LEN
22%
25%
53%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
NIC
1 - 2
PSG
18%
21%
61%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
PSG
1 - 3
TFC
73%
17%
11%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
PSG
0 - 1
BVB
25%
22%
54%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
BVB
1 - 0
PSG
62%
19%
19%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PSG
3 - 3
LHA
82%
13%
6%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |