Metz vs Girondins Bordeaux analysis

Metz Girondins Bordeaux
74 ELO 72
-7.7% Tilt -2.1%
646º General ELO ranking 1067º
18º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
37.2%
Metz
26.5%
Draw
36.3%
Girondins Bordeaux

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
Metz
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.3%
Win probability
Girondins Bordeaux
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Metz
-10%
-5%
Girondins Bordeaux

Points and table prediction

Metz
Their league position
Girondins Bordeaux
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
12º
69
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Le Havre
75
75
100%
Metz
72
72
100%
Girondins Bordeaux
69
72
100%
Bastia
60
60
100%
Caen
59
59
100%
Saint-Étienne
53
56
100%
Guingamp
55
55
0%
Paris FC
55
55
0%
Sochaux
52
52
100%
Grenoble
10º
51
51
10º
100%
QRM
11º
50
50
11º
100%
Amiens SC
12º
47
47
12º
0%
Pau FC
13º
47
47
13º
0%
Stade Lavallois
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Valenciennes
15º
45
45
15º
0%
Annecy
16º
45
45
16º
11%
Rodez
17º
43
43
17º
89%
Dijon FCO
18º
42
42
18º
100%
Nîmes
19º
36
36
19º
100%
Niort
20º
29
29
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Metz
Girondins Bordeaux
Promotion
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Metz
Girondins Bordeaux
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Metz
Metz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2023
PAU
Pau FC
1 - 1
Metz
MET
22%
27%
51%
73 62 11 0
01 Apr. 2023
MET
Metz
1 - 0
Stade Lavallois
STL
66%
22%
12%
73 60 13 0
23 Mar. 2023
MET
Metz
1 - 1
RFC Seraing
SER
63%
21%
16%
73 59 14 0
18 Mar. 2023
QUE
QRM
1 - 2
Metz
MET
29%
28%
44%
72 64 8 +1
13 Mar. 2023
MET
Metz
1 - 1
Le Havre
LHA
45%
28%
27%
72 71 1 0

Matches

Girondins Bordeaux
Girondins Bordeaux
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2023
GIR
Girondins Bordeaux
2 - 0
Bastia
BAS
50%
26%
24%
72 68 4 0
03 Apr. 2023
GUI
Guingamp
0 - 1
Girondins Bordeaux
GIR
31%
25%
43%
71 66 5 +1
18 Mar. 2023
GIR
Girondins Bordeaux
1 - 0
Nîmes
NÎM
62%
22%
16%
71 60 11 0
11 Mar. 2023
SOC
Sochaux
1 - 1
Girondins Bordeaux
GIR
40%
26%
34%
71 72 1 0
04 Mar. 2023
GIR
Girondins Bordeaux
1 - 1
Saint-Étienne
ASS
45%
26%
29%
71 69 2 0
X