Metropolitanos vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
30.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
10º
6º
21
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 7 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
MET
1 - 2
BAR
62%
22%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MET
3 - 1
ZAM
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
UCV
3 - 0
MET
27%
27%
47%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MON
2 - 4
MET
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 2
MET
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
ANG
66%
22%
12%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
CAR
34%
29%
38%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAR
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
APC
2 - 2
CAR
48%
28%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
DEP
4 - 1
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |