ACR Messina vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
BRE
2 - 1
MES
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
MES
2 - 1
CAG
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ATL
2 - 1
MES
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
MES
2 - 2
SAM
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
MES
2 - 1
INT
16%
23%
60%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
LIV
2 - 2
JUV
17%
25%
58%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
INT
1 - 0
LIV
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
LIV
3 - 6
SIE
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
PAR
6 - 4
LIV
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
LIV
1 - 0
LEC
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |