ACR Messina vs Latina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
AVE
1 - 1
MES
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
MES
2 - 3
FCC
19%
27%
54%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 0
MES
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
MES
0 - 1
JUS
25%
26%
49%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
USV
1 - 3
MES
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Latina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 0
LAT
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
LAT
0 - 0
FRA
30%
29%
41%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
FIA
1 - 1
LAT
24%
26%
49%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
LAT
0 - 3
RPO
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
FCC
3 - 1
LAT
59%
24%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |