ACR Messina vs Troina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 0
MES
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
MES
1 - 2
ACI
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
GEL
0 - 0
MES
27%
27%
47%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MES
1 - 1
GEL
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CCI
1 - 0
MES
17%
21%
62%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Troina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ASD
0 - 0
USV
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ACP
0 - 3
ASD
29%
22%
49%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ASD
1 - 0
ROC
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ASD
3 - 1
ACI
64%
19%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
GEL
1 - 3
ASD
48%
23%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |