Venados FC vs Tepatitlán FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAF
3 - 0
MER
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
CIM
1 - 1
MER
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
CAN
74%
18%
9%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
MER
3 - 0
TIA
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
DON
2 - 1
MER
23%
26%
51%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 2
TEM
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
TEM
0 - 2
CIM
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 1
TEM
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TEM
3 - 2
CDT
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
TIA
2 - 1
TEM
31%
28%
42%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |