Venados FC vs Cafetaleros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ZAC
4 - 0
MER
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MER
0 - 5
TOR
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
DOR
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
AME
2 - 0
MER
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
MER
56%
24%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAF
0 - 2
ATL
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CAÑ
4 - 2
CAF
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 0
CAF
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CAF
1 - 0
UAT
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
CAF
1 - 1
JAG
35%
24%
41%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |