Merelinense vs Torcatense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
61.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MON
2 - 4
MER
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MER
2 - 1
SPA
68%
18%
15%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
RON
1 - 2
MER
24%
22%
54%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MER
1 - 1
SER
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MER
1 - 1
BRI
65%
19%
16%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Torcatense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 0
OSL
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
MON
4 - 2
TOR
31%
23%
46%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 2
TRO
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SMA
0 - 1
TOR
50%
25%
25%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 1
TOR
36%
23%
40%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |