CD Mensajero vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.4%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
77.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
16.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 3
CEU
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 2
LPA
38%
27%
36%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MAD
1 - 1
CDM
67%
21%
12%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 0
VIL
25%
26%
49%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CPC
1 - 1
CDM
69%
20%
11%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SDA
1 - 1
ZAR
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
ZAR
0 - 2
LEG
31%
29%
40%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
UDL
2 - 3
ZAR
54%
24%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ZAR
2 - 0
SPO
35%
31%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 1
ZAR
23%
28%
49%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |