CD Mensajero vs Panadería Pulido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
6º
1º
46
1º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
UDI
2 - 3
CDM
21%
23%
56%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CDM
1 - 3
CSU
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
UDG
2 - 2
CDM
19%
23%
59%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 1
ARU
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LPA
2 - 0
CDM
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Panadería Pulido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 2
MAR
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CDT
1 - 1
PAN
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 0
UDS
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
YAI
1 - 1
PAN
25%
23%
51%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 0
EST
79%
14%
8%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |