UD Melilla vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
28.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
CRD
2 - 0
MEL
32%
29%
39%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 1
MAD
45%
29%
26%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
MEL
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 0
UCA
24%
32%
44%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 0
EXT
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
CDE
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
REC
1 - 0
MAR
43%
29%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 0
ECI
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 1
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
LOR
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |