Melbourne Heart vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
3 - 2
MEL
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 2
SYD
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 1
CCM
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
BRI
2 - 1
MEL
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 2
MEL
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PER
1 - 0
ADE
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
PER
1 - 1
AHD
52%
22%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
PER
0 - 2
CEL
22%
24%
54%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
NEW
4 - 0
PER
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
PER
1 - 2
GOL
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |