Melbourne City vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
3º
12º
5º
8
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
12% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
67% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
21% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 1
MCI
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
CCM
2 - 1
MCI
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MCI
0 - 0
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
MCI
7 - 0
WES
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MCI
1 - 0
WPH
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PER
2 - 4
ADE
33%
24%
42%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
PER
1 - 1
SYD
26%
25%
49%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 1
PER
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PER
1 - 2
WES
35%
24%
41%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PER
2 - 2
NEW
50%
24%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |