Matonense vs EC São Bernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
56.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
USA
0 - 0
MAT
44%
22%
34%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 2
USA
46%
23%
32%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 0
VOC
47%
27%
26%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
VOC
0 - 0
MAT
45%
26%
29%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MAT
2 - 1
GDS
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 0
BER
59%
24%
17%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BER
0 - 0
SAO
25%
26%
49%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
BER
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
BER
0 - 3
SAO
26%
26%
47%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
BER
0 - 1
PRI
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |