Matagalpa FC vs Diriangén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
46.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
9º
8º
36
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 2
MFC
48%
24%
29%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
MFC
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 0
MFC
56%
20%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 0
CDS
31%
22%
47%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
DIR
3 - 0
MFC
67%
21%
13%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Diriangén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
DIR
2 - 1
DEP
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
DIR
0 - 2
ORM
82%
13%
5%
|
66 | 13 | 53 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
JUM
0 - 2
DIR
6%
12%
82%
|
66 | 31 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
DIR
4 - 0
JUM
84%
11%
5%
|
66 | 31 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
DIR
2 - 1
REA
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | +1 |