Matagalpa FC vs Diriangén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
51%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
MFC
68%
19%
12%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 1
EST
25%
26%
48%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 0
MAN
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
UNA
3 - 1
MFC
41%
25%
35%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 0
WAL
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Diriangén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
WAL
2 - 0
DIR
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
DIR
5 - 1
CDS
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
EST
1 - 2
DIR
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
DIR
2 - 2
JAP
78%
16%
7%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 2
DIR
9%
21%
70%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |