Matagalpa FC vs CD Ocotal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
9º
7º
27
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
ORM
1 - 2
MFC
18%
22%
61%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 0
JAP
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 3
DIR
23%
27%
50%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
UNA
3 - 2
MFC
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
WAL
2 - 1
MFC
57%
23%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
UNA
1 - 1
DEP
40%
24%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
DEP
3 - 2
ORM
70%
18%
11%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 0
EST
18%
26%
57%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
DIR
7 - 0
DEP
72%
18%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
DEP
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |