Cup Paulista Etapas Finales Final
Global 3-6
Marília vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
XVD
3 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
POR
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
POR
2 - 2
MAR
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
NOR
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 1
MAR
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
XVD
3 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
XVD
1 - 0
SAO
57%
23%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
XVD
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
XVD
2 - 1
AGU
43%
26%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 1
XVD
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |