Paulista A3 Etapas Finales Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Marília vs Votuporanguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
VOT
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 1
MAR
27%
25%
49%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAB
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
BER
2 - 2
MAR
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
MAR
19%
23%
57%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Votuporanguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
VOT
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VOT
3 - 1
LEM
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
DES
0 - 1
VOT
41%
27%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VOT
1 - 0
CAT
55%
24%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 2
VOT
32%
27%
41%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |