Cup Paulista Last 16
Global 3-2
Marília vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
45.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
VEL
0 - 0
MAR
56%
25%
19%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
BSP
0 - 2
MAR
33%
23%
44%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
NOV
19%
22%
60%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 1
MAR
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
4 - 3
RIO
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
VEL
0 - 0
MAR
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
ATI
1 - 0
VEL
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
VEL
0 - 0
FER
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
COM
2 - 1
VEL
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
VEL
2 - 1
COM
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |