Marília vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
MAR
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
COM
56%
25%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
MIR
14%
22%
65%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 1
MAR
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 2
NOR
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 0
MIR
16%
24%
60%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 1
NOR
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
COM
1 - 3
NOR
26%
26%
49%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 1
MAR
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |