Marília vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
47.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MOG
2 - 0
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 2
RBB
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
3 - 0
MAR
83%
13%
4%
|
51 | 85 | 34 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 4
SAN
12%
21%
67%
|
51 | 85 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
MAR
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
ITU
3 - 0
JEC
27%
27%
47%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ITU
0 - 0
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 0
ITU
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
ITU
0 - 0
LIN
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ITU
1 - 2
AUD
32%
27%
42%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |