Marília vs Desportivo Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
CAP
4 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
5 - 0
GRE
49%
24%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
COM
3 - 0
MAR
60%
24%
16%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
RIO
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
DES
2 - 3
PAU
67%
20%
14%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
BER
3 - 1
DES
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
DES
2 - 2
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
RIO
1 - 0
DES
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
DES
0 - 1
NOR
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |